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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Kentucky 2 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Brett Guthrie has a >99% chance of winning Kentucky 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Brett Guthrie

INCUMBENT

>99%

William Compton

<1%

Chance of winning Kentucky 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Kentucky 2

Cook PVI

R+21.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Brett Guthrie

Cash on hand

$1,645,469

Raised

$543,098

Spent

$2,629,447

Date

May 1, 2024

Candidate

William Compton

Cash on hand

$248

Raised

$3,488

Spent

$5,065

Date

May 1, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Kentucky 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Kentucky House 02Vote %Total Votes

S. Brett Guthrie

71.86%

170,487

Hank Linderman

28.14%

66,769

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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