Kentucky 2 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Brett Guthrie has a >99% chance of winning Kentucky 2.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Brett Guthrie INCUMBENT		>99%
Hank Linderman		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Kentucky 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Kentucky 2

Cook PVI

R+21.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Brett Guthrie	$742,225	$929,419	$4,826,749	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Hank Linderman	$32,968	$36,068	$26,837	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Brett Guthrie

Cash on hand

$742,225

Raised

$929,419

Spent

$4,826,749

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Hank Linderman

Cash on hand

$32,968

Raised

$36,068

Spent

$26,837

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Kentucky 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.