| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Curtis Hertel | 53% | |
Thomas Barrett | 47% |
Chance of winning Michigan 7 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Michigan 7
Cook PVI
R+2.1
Last Winner
Democrat
5 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 – 27 | 535 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 47.3%Barrett 44.8%Hertel | +3 Barrett |
| Oct 7 – 9 | 405 LV | Cygnal/Tom Barrett | 47.1%Barrett 43.4%Hertel | +4 Barrett |
| Aug 28 – 30 | 420 LV | Cygnal/NRCC/Tom Barr... | 48.3%Barrett 42.8%Hertel | +6 Barrett |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Curtis Hertel | $2,148,000 | $1,850,309 | $484,416 | March 31, 2024 | |
Thomas Barrett | $958,131 | $1,130,072 | $611,512 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$2,148,000
Raised
$1,850,309
Spent
$484,416
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$958,131
Raised
$1,130,072
Spent
$611,512
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan 7. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Michigan House 07 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Elissa Slotkin | 51.73% | 192,809 |
Tom Barrett | 46.32% | 172,624 |
Leah R. Dailey | 1.95% | 7,275 |
2022 Michigan House 07
Elissa Slotkin
Vote %
51.73%
Total Votes
192,809
2022 Michigan House 07
Tom Barrett
Vote %
46.32%
Total Votes
172,624
2022 Michigan House 07
Leah R. Dailey
Vote %
1.95%
Total Votes
7,275
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
