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Michigan 7 House Forecast tossup POTENTIAL FLIP

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Thomas Barrett has a 52% chance of winning Michigan 7.

CandidatePartyWin %

Thomas Barrett

52%

Curtis Hertel

48%

Chance of winning Michigan 7 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Michigan 7

Cook PVI

R+2.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Curtis Hertel

Cash on hand

$2,148,000

Raised

$1,850,309

Spent

$484,416

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Thomas Barrett

Cash on hand

$958,131

Raised

$1,130,072

Spent

$611,512

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Michigan 7. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Michigan House 07Vote %Total Votes

Elissa Slotkin

51.73%

192,809

Tom Barrett

46.32%

172,624

Leah R. Dailey

1.95%

7,275

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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