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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Missouri 8 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Jason Smith has a >99% chance of winning Missouri 8.

CandidatePartyWin %

Jason Smith

INCUMBENT

>99%

Randi McCallian

<1%

Chance of winning Missouri 8 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Missouri 8

Cook PVI

R+28.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Jason Smith

Cash on hand

$2,660,454

Raised

$1,444,243

Spent

$2,096,051

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Randi McCallian

Cash on hand

$7,838

Raised

$19,779

Spent

$23,359

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Missouri 8. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Missouri House 08Vote %Total Votes

Jason Smith

75.99%

186,472

Randi McCallian

21.90%

53,738

Jim Higgins

2.11%

5,185

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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