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Missouri 8 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Jason Smith has a >99% chance of winning Missouri 8.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Jason Smith INCUMBENT		>99%
Randi McCallian		<1%

Chance of winning Missouri 8 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Missouri 8

Cook PVI

R+28.1

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Jason Smith	$2,660,454	$1,444,243	$2,096,051	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Randi McCallian	$7,838	$19,779	$23,359	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Jason Smith

Cash on hand

$2,660,454

Raised

$1,444,243

Spent

$2,096,051

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Randi McCallian

Cash on hand

$7,838

Raised

$19,779

Spent

$23,359

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Missouri 8. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.