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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Nevada 3 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Susie Lee has a 78% chance of winning Nevada 3.

CandidatePartyWin %

Susie Lee

INCUMBENT

78%

Drew Johnson

22%

Chance of winning Nevada 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Nevada 3

Cook PVI

D+1.5

Last Winner

Democrat

2 polls

Aug 26 – 29

298 LV

Emerson College Poll...
47.4%

Lee

34.6%

Johnson

+13 NV03_Lee

Aug 4 – 6

297 LV

Decipher Ai
48.5%

Lee

42.4%

Johnson

+6 NV03_Lee

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Susie Lee

Cash on hand

$2,454,463

Raised

$2,529,883

Spent

$1,131,023

Date

May 22, 2024

Candidate

Drew Johnson

Cash on hand

$107,529

Raised

$128,478

Spent

$333,446

Date

May 22, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nevada 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Nevada House 03Vote %Total Votes

Susie Lee

51.98%

131,086

April Becker

48.02%

121,083

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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