Nevada 3 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Susie Lee has a 93% chance of winning Nevada 3.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Susie Lee INCUMBENT		93%
Drew Johnson		7%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Nevada 3 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Nevada 3

Cook PVI

D+1.5

Last Winner

Democrat

View Polling Average

Nevada 3 House polls, Lee vs. Johnson

2 polls

Field Dates	Sample	Pollster	Results	Topline
Aug 26 – 29	298 LV	Emerson College Poll...	47.4% Lee 34.6% Johnson	+13 NV03_Lee
Aug 4 – 6	297 LV	Decipher Ai	48.5% Lee 42.4% Johnson	+6 NV03_Lee

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Susie Lee	$881,018	$4,004,278	$4,824,099	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Drew Johnson	$152,745	$448,616	$1,143,500	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Susie Lee

Cash on hand

$881,018

Raised

$4,004,278

Spent

$4,824,099

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Drew Johnson

Cash on hand

$152,745

Raised

$448,616

Spent

$1,143,500

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nevada 3. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.