| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Steven Horsford INCUMBENT | 84% | |
John Lee | 16% |
Chance of winning Nevada 4 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Nevada 4
Cook PVI
D+2.6
Last Winner
Democrat
2 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 – 29 | 281 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 45.7%Horsford 36.1%Lee | +10 Horsford |
| Aug 4 – 6 | 234 LV | Decipher Ai | 43.2%Horsford 38.9%Lee | +4 Horsford |
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Steven Horsford | $1,857,132 | $1,703,513 | $1,586,015 | May 22, 2024 | |
John Lee | $100,392 | $351,322 | $750,930 | May 22, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,857,132
Raised
$1,703,513
Spent
$1,586,015
Report
Date
May 22, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$100,392
Raised
$351,322
Spent
$750,930
Report
Date
May 22, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nevada 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Nevada House 04 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Steven A. Horsford | 52.42% | 116,617 |
Sam Peters | 47.58% | 105,870 |
2022 Nevada House 04
Steven A. Horsford
Vote %
52.42%
Total Votes
116,617
2022 Nevada House 04
Sam Peters
Vote %
47.58%
Total Votes
105,870
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
