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Nevada 4 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Steven Horsford has a 81% chance of winning Nevada 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

Steven Horsford

INCUMBENT

81%

John Lee

19%

Chance of winning Nevada 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Nevada 4

Cook PVI

D+2.6

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Steven Horsford

Cash on hand

$1,857,132

Raised

$1,703,513

Spent

$1,586,015

Date

May 22, 2024

Candidate

John Lee

Cash on hand

$100,392

Raised

$351,322

Spent

$750,930

Date

May 22, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nevada 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Nevada House 04Vote %Total Votes

Steven A. Horsford

52.42%

116,617

Sam Peters

47.58%

105,870

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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