| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Chris Pappas INCUMBENT | 79% | |
Hollie Noveletsky | 21% |
Chance of winning New Hampshire 1 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Hampshire 1
Cook PVI
D+0.1
Last Winner
Democrat
6 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – 4 | 253 RV | Dartmouth College Ne... | 62.2%Pappas 34.3%Prescott | +28 Pappas |
| Oct 29 – 30 | 1,407 LV | St. Anselm College | 50.0%Pappas 43.0%Prescott | +7 Pappas |
| Oct 2 – 3 | 1,099 LV | St. Anselm College | 50.0%Pappas 41.0%Prescott | +9 Pappas |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Pappas | $1,750,431 | $1,425,060 | $534,752 | March 31, 2024 | |
Hollie Noveletsky | $236,108 | $225,342 | $66,734 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,750,431
Raised
$1,425,060
Spent
$534,752
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$236,108
Raised
$225,342
Spent
$66,734
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Hampshire 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New Hampshire House 01 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Chris Pappas | 54.06% | 167,391 |
Karoline Leavitt | 45.94% | 142,229 |
2022 New Hampshire House 01
Chris Pappas
Vote %
54.06%
Total Votes
167,391
2022 New Hampshire House 01
Karoline Leavitt
Vote %
45.94%
Total Votes
142,229
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
