Sponsored content

Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

No results found

New Hampshire 1 House Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Chris Pappas has a 97% chance of winning New Hampshire 1.

CandidatePartyWin %

Chris Pappas

INCUMBENT

97%

Russell Prescott

3%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning New Hampshire 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Hampshire 1

Cook PVI

D+0.1

Last Winner

Democrat

6 polls

Nov 2 – 4

253 RV

Dartmouth College Ne...
62.2%

Pappas

34.3%

Prescott

+28 Pappas

Oct 29 – 30

1,407 LV

St. Anselm College
50.0%

Pappas

43.0%

Prescott

+7 Pappas

Oct 2 – 3

1,099 LV

St. Anselm College
50.0%

Pappas

41.0%

Prescott

+9 Pappas

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Chris Pappas

Cash on hand

$1,347,118

Raised

$2,603,436

Spent

$2,603,170

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Russell Prescott

Cash on hand

$275,589

Raised

$663,079

Spent

$902,806

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Hampshire 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New Hampshire House 01Vote %Total Votes

Chris Pappas

54.06%

167,391

Karoline Leavitt

45.94%

142,229

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

Related Stories