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New Hampshire 1 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Chris Pappas has a 76% chance of winning New Hampshire 1.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Chris Pappas INCUMBENT		76%
Hollie Noveletsky		24%

Chance of winning New Hampshire 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Hampshire 1

Cook PVI

D+0.1

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Chris Pappas	$1,750,431	$1,425,060	$534,752	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024
Hollie Noveletsky	$236,108	$225,342	$66,734	APRIL QUARTERLY	March 31, 2024

Candidate

Chris Pappas

Cash on hand

$1,750,431

Raised

$1,425,060

Spent

$534,752

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Hollie Noveletsky

Cash on hand

$236,108

Raised

$225,342

Spent

$66,734

Report

APRIL QUARTERLY

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Hampshire 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.