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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

New Jersey 7 House Forecast tossup

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Thomas Kean has a 63% chance of winning New Jersey 7.

CandidatePartyWin %

Thomas Kean

INCUMBENT

63%

Susan Altman

37%

Chance of winning New Jersey 7 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey 7

Cook PVI

R+1.3

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Thomas Kean

Cash on hand

$2,536,334

Raised

$2,015,193

Spent

$1,182,161

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Susan Altman

Cash on hand

$1,146,390

Raised

$1,593,504

Spent

$595,086

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 7. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New Jersey House 07Vote %Total Votes

Thomas H. Kean Jr.

51.40%

159,392

Tom Malinowski

48.60%

150,701

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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