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New Jersey 7 House Forecast lean gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Thomas Kean Jr. has a 71% chance of winning New Jersey 7.

CandidatePartyWin %

Thomas Kean Jr.

INCUMBENT

71%

Susan Altman

29%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning New Jersey 7 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About New Jersey 7

Cook PVI

R+1.3

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Thomas Kean Jr.

Cash on hand

$2,286,434

Raised

$3,059,525

Spent

$3,365,747

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Susan Altman

Cash on hand

$567,458

Raised

$4,858,551

Spent

$5,071,272

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Jersey 7. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 New Jersey House 07Vote %Total Votes

Thomas H. Kean Jr.

51.40%

159,392

Tom Malinowski

48.60%

150,701

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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