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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Texas 21 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Chip Roy has a >99% chance of winning Texas 21.

CandidatePartyWin %

Chip Roy

INCUMBENT

>99%

Kristina Hook

<1%

Chance of winning Texas 21 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 21

Cook PVI

R+13.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Chip Roy

Cash on hand

$2,112,540

Raised

$1,581,781

Spent

$921,005

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Kristina Hook

Cash on hand

$68,359

Raised

$96,340

Spent

$28,010

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 21. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 21Vote %Total Votes

Chip Roy

62.84%

207,426

Claudia Andreana Zapata

37.16%

122,655

+ More Elections

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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