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Texas 21 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Chip Roy has a >99% chance of winning Texas 21.

CandidatePartyWin %

Chip Roy

INCUMBENT

>99%

Kristin Hook

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Texas 21 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Texas 21

Cook PVI

R+13.2

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Chip Roy

Cash on hand

$2,426,109

Raised

$2,354,764

Spent

$1,566,345

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Kristin Hook

Cash on hand

$196,437

Raised

$473,679

Spent

$290,633

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Texas 21. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Texas House 21Vote %Total Votes

Chip Roy

62.84%

207,426

Claudia Andreana Zapata

37.16%

122,655

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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