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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Virginia 7 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Eugene Vindman has a 81% chance of winning Virginia 7.

CandidatePartyWin %

Eugene Vindman

81%

Derrick Anderson

19%

Chance of winning Virginia 7 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Virginia 7

Cook PVI

D+0.9

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Eugene Vindman

Cash on hand

$876,053

Raised

$4,966,916

Spent

$4,149,246

Date

May 29, 2024

Candidate

Derrick Anderson

Cash on hand

$421,885

Raised

$724,662

Spent

$682,540

Date

May 29, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Virginia 7. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Virginia House 07Vote %Total Votes

Abigail A. Spanberger

52.33%

143,357

Yesli I. Vega

47.67%

130,586

+ More Elections

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Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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