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Virginia 7 House Forecast likely dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Eugene Vindman has a 82% chance of winning Virginia 7.

CandidatePartyWin %

Eugene Vindman

82%

Derrick Anderson

18%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Virginia 7 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Virginia 7

Cook PVI

D+0.9

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Eugene Vindman

Cash on hand

$2,321,540

Raised

$15,185,503

Spent

$13,364,500

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Derrick Anderson

Cash on hand

$680,644

Raised

$1,701,668

Spent

$2,174,553

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Virginia 7. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Virginia House 07Vote %Total Votes

Abigail A. Spanberger

52.33%

143,357

Yesli I. Vega

47.67%

130,586

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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