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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Nebraska Presidential Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Donald Trump has a >99% chance of winning Nebraska.

A sparsely populated and predominantly white state in the Great Plains, Nebraska has voted Republican in nearly every presidential election since achieving statehood. Like Maine, Nebraska allocates its electoral votes by awarding two to the statewide winner and one to the winner of each of its three congressional districts. Since Lyndon B. Johnson's narrow victory in 1964, Democrats have not come within single digits of winning the statewide popular vote.

CandidatePartyWin %

Donald Trump

>99%

Joe Biden

INCUMBENT

<1%

Chance of winning Nebraska over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Nebraska

Cook PVI

R+13.0

Last Winner

Republican

Electoral Votes

2

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$116,565,075

Raised

$2,323,342

Spent

$82,177,202

Date

May 31, 2024

Candidate

Joe Biden

Cash on hand

$91,566,116

Raised

$89,239,587

Spent

$130,550,039

Date

May 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nebraska. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Nebraska President Vote %Total Votes

Donald Trump

58.51%

556,846

Joe Biden

39.36%

374,583

Jo Jorgensen

2.13%

20,283

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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