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Nebraska Presidential Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Donald Trump has a >99% chance of winning Nebraska.

A sparsely populated and predominantly white state in the Great Plains, Nebraska has voted Republican in nearly every presidential election since achieving statehood. Like Maine, Nebraska allocates its electoral votes by awarding two to the statewide winner and one to the winner of each of its three congressional districts. Since Lyndon B. Johnson's narrow victory in 1964, Democrats have not come within single digits of winning the statewide popular vote.

CandidatePartyWin %

Donald Trump

>99%

Kamala Harris

<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Nebraska over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Nebraska

Cook PVI

R+13.0

Last Winner

Republican

Electoral Votes

2

9 polls

Oct 31 – Nov 1

600 LV

Change Research/Dan ...
57.0%

Trump

39.0%

Harris

+18 Trump

Oct 26 – 29

605 LV

Torchlight Strategie...
56.0%

Trump

39.0%

Harris

+17 Trump

Oct 24 – 27

1,194 RV

Siena College Poll/N...
55.0%

Trump

40.0%

Harris

+15 Trump

+ More Polls

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Kamala Harris

Cash on hand

$118,825,510

Raised

$504,663,253

Spent

$880,198,347

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Donald Trump

Cash on hand

$36,214,682

Raised

$54,519,239

Spent

$354,932,583

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nebraska. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Nebraska President Vote %Total Votes

Donald Trump

58.51%

556,846

Joe Biden

39.36%

374,583

Jo Jorgensen

2.13%

20,283

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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