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This is the archived 2024 forecast, click here to view the latest forecast

Minnesota Senate Forecast safe dem

Last Updated: Thursday, July 18 at 10:39 AM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Amy Klobuchar has a 95% chance of winning Minnesota.

CandidatePartyWin %

Amy Klobuchar

INCUMBENT

95%

Joe Fraser

5%

Chance of winning Minnesota Senate over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Minnesota

Cook PVI

D+1.0

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Amy Klobuchar

Cash on hand

$5,769,671

Raised

$5,766,660

Spent

$4,493,092

Date

March 31, 2024

Candidate

Joe Fraser

Cash on hand

$43,901

Raised

$45,057

Spent

$1,156

Date

March 31, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Minnesota. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2020 Minnesota Senate Vote %Total Votes

Tina Smith

48.77%

1,566,522

Jason Lewis

43.53%

1,398,145

Kevin O'Connor

5.92%

190,154

Oliver Steinberg

1.78%

57,174

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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