| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Amy Klobuchar INCUMBENT | 95% | |
Joe Fraser | 5% |
Chance of winning Minnesota Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Minnesota
Cook PVI
D+1.0
Last Winner
Democrat
5 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 – 19 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 47.2%Klobuchar 37.2%Fraser | +10 Klobuchar |
| Jun 13 – 17 | 626 LV | SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | 49.0%Klobuchar 36.0%Fraser | +13 Klobuchar |
| May 9 – 12 | 625 LV | SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | 48.0%Klobuchar 34.0%Fraser | +14 Klobuchar |
| Apr 4 – 8 | 608 LV | SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV | 51.0%Klobuchar 34.0%Fraser | +17 Klobuchar |
| Feb 24 – 29 | 1,603 LV | SurveyUSA | 49.0%Klobuchar 33.0%Fraser | +16 Klobuchar |
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amy Klobuchar | $5,769,671 | $5,766,660 | $4,493,092 | March 31, 2024 | |
Joe Fraser | $43,901 | $45,057 | $1,156 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$5,769,671
Raised
$5,766,660
Spent
$4,493,092
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$43,901
Raised
$45,057
Spent
$1,156
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Minnesota. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Minnesota Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Tina Smith | 48.77% | 1,566,522 |
Jason Lewis | 43.53% | 1,398,145 |
Kevin O'Connor | 5.92% | 190,154 |
Oliver Steinberg | 1.78% | 57,174 |
2020 Minnesota Senate
Tina Smith
Vote %
48.77%
Total Votes
1,566,522
2020 Minnesota Senate
Jason Lewis
Vote %
43.53%
Total Votes
1,398,145
2020 Minnesota Senate
Kevin O'Connor
Vote %
5.92%
Total Votes
190,154
2020 Minnesota Senate
Oliver Steinberg
Vote %
1.78%
Total Votes
57,174
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
