| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Greg Stanton INCUMBENT | 91% | |
Kelly Cooper | 9% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Arizona 4 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Arizona 4
Cook PVI
D+2.3
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Greg Stanton | $1,117,444 | $1,873,884 | $1,558,906 | October 16, 2024 | |
Kelly Cooper | $104,966 | $564,335 | $625,732 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,117,444
Raised
$1,873,884
Spent
$1,558,906
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$104,966
Raised
$564,335
Spent
$625,732
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Arizona 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Arizona House 04 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Greg Stanton | 56.10% | 148,941 |
Kelly Cooper | 43.89% | 116,521 |
Stephan Jones | 0.01% | 36 |
2022 Arizona House 04
Greg Stanton
Vote %
56.10%
Total Votes
148,941
2022 Arizona House 04
Kelly Cooper
Vote %
43.89%
Total Votes
116,521
2022 Arizona House 04
Stephan Jones
Vote %
0.01%
Total Votes
36
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
