California 27 House Forecast tossup POTENTIAL FLIP

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that George Whitesides has a 52% chance of winning California 27.

Candidate	Party	Win %
George Whitesides		52%
Michael Garcia INCUMBENT		48%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning California 27 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About California 27

Cook PVI

D+4.0

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Michael Garcia	$1,838,608	$3,696,203	$4,256,325	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
George Whitesides	$1,032,195	$6,864,554	$8,226,429	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Michael Garcia

Cash on hand

$1,838,608

Raised

$3,696,203

Spent

$4,256,325

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

George Whitesides

Cash on hand

$1,032,195

Raised

$6,864,554

Spent

$8,226,429

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 27. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.