| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Michelle Steel INCUMBENT | 61% | |
Derek Tran | 39% |
Chance of winning California 45 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About California 45
Cook PVI
D+2.1
Last Winner
Republican
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michelle Steel | $3,218,738 | $2,066,600 | $2,478,766 | March 31, 2024 | |
Derek Tran | $195,382 | $823,476 | $773,458 | March 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$3,218,738
Raised
$2,066,600
Spent
$2,478,766
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$195,382
Raised
$823,476
Spent
$773,458
Report
Date
March 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for California 45. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 California House 45 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Michelle Steel | 52.41% | 113,960 |
Jay F. Chen | 47.59% | 103,466 |
2022 California House 45
Michelle Steel
Vote %
52.41%
Total Votes
113,960
2022 California House 45
Jay F. Chen
Vote %
47.59%
Total Votes
103,466
+ More Elections
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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
