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Iowa 4 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Randy Feenstra has a >99% chance of winning Iowa 4.

CandidatePartyWin %

Randy Feenstra

INCUMBENT

>99%

Ryan Melton

<1%

Chance of winning Iowa 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Iowa 4

Cook PVI

D+18.8

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Randy Feenstra

Cash on hand

$1,088,896

Raised

$1,678,249

Spent

$3,250,175

Date

May 15, 2024

Candidate

Ryan Melton

Cash on hand

$20,481

Raised

$44,487

Spent

$30,896

Date

May 15, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Iowa 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Iowa House 04Vote %Total Votes

Randy Feenstra

67.38%

186,467

Ryan Melton

30.44%

84,230

Bryan Jack Holder

2.18%

6,035

+ More Elections

Featured Races

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Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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