Iowa 4 House Forecast safe gop

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Randy Feenstra has a >99% chance of winning Iowa 4.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Randy Feenstra INCUMBENT		>99%
Ryan Melton		<1%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning Iowa 4 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Iowa 4

Cook PVI

D+18.8

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Randy Feenstra	$1,214,004	$2,037,377	$3,987,057	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Ryan Melton	$35,804	$116,452	$101,294	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Randy Feenstra

Cash on hand

$1,214,004

Raised

$2,037,377

Spent

$3,987,057

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Ryan Melton

Cash on hand

$35,804

Raised

$116,452

Spent

$101,294

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Iowa 4. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.