| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Tony Vargas | 68% | |
Don Bacon INCUMBENT | 32% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Nebraska 2 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Nebraska 2
Cook PVI
D+0.2
Last Winner
Republican
9 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 – 29 | 389 LV | YouGov/The Economist | 50.0%Vargas 46.0%Bacon | +4 Vargas |
| Sep 25 – 27 | 663 LV | Siena College Poll/N... | 48.0%Vargas 44.0%Bacon | +4 Vargas |
| Sep 21 – 26 | 749 LV | CNN/SSRS | 50.0%Vargas 44.0%Bacon | +6 Vargas |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tony Vargas | $920,866 | $6,071,430 | $5,879,288 | October 16, 2024 | |
Don Bacon | $605,115 | $2,999,807 | $5,353,941 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$920,866
Raised
$6,071,430
Spent
$5,879,288
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$605,115
Raised
$2,999,807
Spent
$5,353,941
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Nebraska 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Nebraska House 02 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Don Bacon | 51.33% | 112,663 |
Tony Vargas | 48.67% | 106,807 |
2022 Nebraska House 02
Don Bacon
Vote %
51.33%
Total Votes
112,663
2022 Nebraska House 02
Tony Vargas
Vote %
48.67%
Total Votes
106,807
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
