| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Melanie Stansbury INCUMBENT | 97% | |
Steve Jones | 3% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New Mexico 1 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Mexico 1
Cook PVI
D+4.7
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Melanie Stansbury | $204,399 | $919,888 | $1,098,263 | October 16, 2024 | |
Steve Jones | $587 | $18,204 | $183,549 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$204,399
Raised
$919,888
Spent
$1,098,263
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$587
Raised
$18,204
Spent
$183,549
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Mexico 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New Mexico House 01 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Melanie Ann Stansbury | 55.75% | 156,462 |
Michelle Garcia Holmes | 44.23% | 124,151 |
Victoria L. Gonzales | 0.02% | 58 |
2022 New Mexico House 01
Melanie Ann Stansbury
Vote %
55.75%
Total Votes
156,462
2022 New Mexico House 01
Michelle Garcia Holmes
Vote %
44.23%
Total Votes
124,151
2022 New Mexico House 01
Victoria L. Gonzales
Vote %
0.02%
Total Votes
58
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
