| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Gabriel Vasquez INCUMBENT | 80% | |
Stella Herrell | 20% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New Mexico 2 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New Mexico 2
Cook PVI
D+1.1
Last Winner
Democrat
3 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 – 19 | 414 LV | Research and Polling... | 49.0%Vasquez 45.0%Herrell | +4 Vasquez |
| Sep 27 – Oct 1 | 582 LV | SurveyUSA/KOB-TV | 51.0%Vasquez 42.0%Herrell | +9 Vasquez |
| Aug 21 – 23 | 283 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 50.3%Vasquez 40.5%Herrell | +10 Vasquez |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gabriel Vasquez | $990,470 | $4,884,274 | $5,515,855 | October 16, 2024 | |
Stella Herrell | $314,872 | $2,657,130 | $3,750,811 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$990,470
Raised
$4,884,274
Spent
$5,515,855
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$314,872
Raised
$2,657,130
Spent
$3,750,811
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New Mexico 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New Mexico House 02 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Gabriel Vasquez | 50.34% | 96,986 |
Yvette Herrell | 49.64% | 95,636 |
Eliseo Luna | 0.03% | 51 |
2022 New Mexico House 02
Gabriel Vasquez
Vote %
50.34%
Total Votes
96,986
2022 New Mexico House 02
Yvette Herrell
Vote %
49.64%
Total Votes
95,636
2022 New Mexico House 02
Eliseo Luna
Vote %
0.03%
Total Votes
51
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
