| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Mike Lawler INCUMBENT | 59% | |
Mondaire Jones | 41% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning New York 17 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New York 17
Cook PVI
D+2.8
Last Winner
Republican
6 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 – 27 | 475 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 48.6%Lawler 44.0%Jones | +5 Lawler |
| Oct 2 – 4 | 630 LV | Emerson College Poll... | 45.1%Lawler 44.1%Jones | +1 Lawler |
| Sep 16 – 19 | 500 LV | GBAO/Mondaire Jones | 47.0%Lawler 45.0%Jones | +2 Lawler |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Lawler | $1,228,114 | $3,540,628 | $6,588,291 | October 16, 2024 | |
Mondaire Jones | $631,827 | $7,063,821 | $8,496,675 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,228,114
Raised
$3,540,628
Spent
$6,588,291
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$631,827
Raised
$7,063,821
Spent
$8,496,675
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York 17. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 New York House 17 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Sean Patrick Maloney | 49.68% | 141,730 |
Michael V. Lawler | 50.32% | 143,550 |
2022 New York House 17
Sean Patrick Maloney
Vote %
49.68%
Total Votes
141,730
2022 New York House 17
Michael V. Lawler
Vote %
50.32%
Total Votes
143,550
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
