North Carolina 1 House Forecast lean dem

Last Updated: Tuesday, November 5 at 12:18 PM EST

Our model currently predicts that Don Davis has a 76% chance of winning North Carolina 1.

Candidate	Party	Win %
Don Davis INCUMBENT		76%
Laurie Buckhout		24%

View the archived 2024 forecast

Chance of winning North Carolina 1 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About North Carolina 1

Cook PVI

R+0.7

Last Winner

Democrat

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate	Cash on hand	Raised	Spent	Report	Date
Don Davis	$1,798,987	$3,455,706	$3,818,478	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024
Laurie Buckhout	$557,984	$1,585,607	$3,721,701	OCTOBER QUARTERLY	October 16, 2024

Candidate

Don Davis

Cash on hand

$1,798,987

Raised

$3,455,706

Spent

$3,818,478

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Candidate

Laurie Buckhout

Cash on hand

$557,984

Raised

$1,585,607

Spent

$3,721,701

Report

OCTOBER QUARTERLY

Date

October 16, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for North Carolina 1. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.