| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Gerald Connolly INCUMBENT | >99% | |
Michael Van Meter | <1% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Virginia 11 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Virginia 11
Cook PVI
D+18.3
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gerald Connolly | $3,619,126 | $1,332,501 | $1,920,348 | October 16, 2024 | |
Michael Van Meter | $15,918 | $55,258 | $42,820 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$3,619,126
Raised
$1,332,501
Spent
$1,920,348
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$15,918
Raised
$55,258
Spent
$42,820
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Virginia 11. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Virginia House 11 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly | 66.89% | 193,190 |
James G. "Jim" Myles | 33.11% | 95,634 |
2022 Virginia House 11
Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly
Vote %
66.89%
Total Votes
193,190
2022 Virginia House 11
James G. "Jim" Myles
Vote %
33.11%
Total Votes
95,634
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
