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Virginia 2 House Forecast lean gop

Last Updated: Monday, July 1 at 4:08 PM EDT

Our model currently predicts that Jennifer Kiggans has a 73% chance of winning Virginia 2.

CandidatePartyWin %

Jennifer Kiggans

INCUMBENT

73%

Missy Smasal

27%

Chance of winning Virginia 2 over time

Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.

About Virginia 2

Cook PVI

R+2.0

Last Winner

Republican

Campaign Finance

An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.

Candidate

Jennifer Kiggans

Cash on hand

$1,846,148

Raised

$1,813,368

Spent

$1,672,734

Date

May 29, 2024

Candidate

Missy Smasal

Cash on hand

$367,660

Raised

$643,958

Spent

$403,751

Date

May 29, 2024

Past Elections

This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Virginia 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.

2022 Virginia House 02Vote %Total Votes

Jen A. Kiggans

51.70%

153,328

Elaine G. Luria

48.30%

143,219

+ More Elections

Featured Races

Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.

Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.

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