| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Jennifer Kiggans INCUMBENT | 66% | |
Missy Smasal | 34% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Virginia 2 over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Virginia 2
Cook PVI
R+2.0
Last Winner
Republican
4 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 – 21 | 373 LV | DCCC Targeting and A... | 47.0%Kiggans 47.0%Smasal | TIE |
| Oct 12 – 21 | 800 LV | Christopher Newport ... | 46.0%Kiggans 45.0%Smasal | +1 Kiggans |
| Sep 7 – 11 | 792 LV | Christopher Newport ... | 45.0%Kiggans 40.0%Smasal | +5 Kiggans |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jennifer Kiggans | $812,497 | $3,304,033 | $5,182,777 | October 16, 2024 | |
Missy Smasal | $166,428 | $2,304,933 | $2,617,723 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$812,497
Raised
$3,304,033
Spent
$5,182,777
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$166,428
Raised
$2,304,933
Spent
$2,617,723
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Virginia 2. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the district. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2022 Virginia House 02 | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Jen A. Kiggans | 51.70% | 153,328 |
Elaine G. Luria | 48.30% | 143,219 |
2022 Virginia House 02
Jen A. Kiggans
Vote %
51.70%
Total Votes
153,328
2022 Virginia House 02
Elaine G. Luria
Vote %
48.30%
Total Votes
143,219
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
