| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden INCUMBENT | 98% | |
Donald Trump | 2% |
Chance of winning New York over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About New York
Cook PVI
D+10.0
Last Winner
Democrat
Electoral Votes
28
12 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13 – 18 | 805 RV | Siena College Poll/N... | 47.0%Biden 39.0%Trump | +8 Biden |
| May 29 – 30 | 1,000 RV | Emerson College Poll... | 55.2%Biden 44.8%Trump | +10 Biden |
| May 14 – 16 | 1,191 RV | Siena College Poll | 47.0%Biden 38.0%Trump | +9 Biden |
| May 3 – 4 | 1,059 RV | Slingshot Strategies | 56.0%Biden 37.0%Trump | +19 Biden |
| Apr 15 – 22 | 749 LV | John Zogby Strategie... | 48.2%Biden 42.4%Trump | +6 Biden |
| Apr 16 – 18 | 806 RV | Siena College Poll | 47.0%Biden 37.0%Trump | +10 Biden |
| Feb 13 – 15 | 806 RV | Siena College Poll | 48.0%Biden 36.0%Trump | +12 Biden |
| Jan 15 – 18 | 807 RV | Siena College Poll | 46.0%Biden 37.0%Trump | +9 Biden |
| Nov 13 – 16 | 803 RV | Siena College Poll | 46.0%Biden 36.0%Trump | +10 Biden |
| Oct 16 – 20 | 1,225 RV | Siena College Poll | 46.0%Biden 37.0%Trump | +9 Biden |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Donald Trump | $116,565,075 | $2,323,342 | $82,177,202 | May 31, 2024 | |
Joe Biden | $91,566,116 | $89,239,587 | $130,550,039 | May 31, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$116,565,075
Raised
$2,323,342
Spent
$82,177,202
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$91,566,116
Raised
$89,239,587
Spent
$130,550,039
Report
Date
May 31, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for New York. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 New York President | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Joe Biden | 60.86% | 5,230,985 |
Donald Trump | 37.75% | 3,244,798 |
Jo Jorgensen | 0.70% | 60,234 |
Howie Hawkins | 0.38% | 32,753 |
2020 New York President
Joe Biden
Vote %
60.86%
Total Votes
5,230,985
2020 New York President
Donald Trump
Vote %
37.75%
Total Votes
3,244,798
2020 New York President
Jo Jorgensen
Vote %
0.70%
Total Votes
60,234
2020 New York President
Howie Hawkins
Vote %
0.38%
Total Votes
32,753
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
