| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Tim Kaine INCUMBENT | 90% | |
Hung Cao | 10% |
View the archived 2024 forecast
Chance of winning Virginia Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Virginia
Cook PVI
D+3.0
Last Winner
Democrat
22 polls
Field Dates | Sample | Pollster | Results | Topline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – 5 | 2,202 LV | AtlasIntel | 52.6%Kaine 44.0%Cao | +9 Kaine |
| Nov 3 – 4 | 423 LV | Research Co. | 56.0%Kaine 44.0%Cao | +12 Kaine |
| Oct 29 – 31 | 520 LV | Chism Strategies | 46.4%Kaine 44.9%Cao | +2 Kaine |
+ More Polls
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tim Kaine | $5,367,053 | $10,146,004 | $15,342,741 | October 16, 2024 | |
Hung Cao | $1,892,810 | $7,769,216 | $6,199,857 | October 16, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$5,367,053
Raised
$10,146,004
Spent
$15,342,741
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$1,892,810
Raised
$7,769,216
Spent
$6,199,857
Report
Date
October 16, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Virginia. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Virginia Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Mark R. Warner | 56.05% | 2,466,500 |
Daniel M. Gade | 43.95% | 1,934,199 |
2020 Virginia Senate
Mark R. Warner
Vote %
56.05%
Total Votes
2,466,500
2020 Virginia Senate
Daniel M. Gade
Vote %
43.95%
Total Votes
1,934,199
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
