| Candidate | Party | Win % |
|---|---|---|
Tim Kaine INCUMBENT | 90% | |
Hung Cao | 10% |
Chance of winning Virginia Senate over time
Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with "fundamental" factors like incumbency and each district's partisan lean. Below is a chart over time of our best estimate of the most likely number of House seats each party will win, surrounded by a range of other plausible outcomes.
About Virginia
Cook PVI
D+3.0
Last Winner
Democrat
Campaign Finance
An overview of each candidate's financial activity during the campaign, showing how much money they raised and spent. Campaign finance data can be a powerful indicator of a candidate's support base and overall campaign health.
| Candidate | Cash on hand | Raised | Spent | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tim Kaine | $8,615,047 | $6,064,520 | $6,155,836 | May 29, 2024 | |
Hung Cao | $202,638 | $2,497,440 | $2,398,405 | June 30, 2024 |
Candidate
Cash on hand
$8,615,047
Raised
$6,064,520
Spent
$6,155,836
Report
Date
May 29, 2024
Candidate
Cash on hand
$202,638
Raised
$2,497,440
Spent
$2,398,405
Report
Date
June 30, 2024
Past Elections
This section displays the previous election results in previous elections for Virginia. By examining past election results, we can assess the historical performance and voter preferences in the state. This information is crucial for understanding trends and potential shifts in voter support.
| 2020 Virginia Senate | Vote % | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|
Mark R. Warner | 56.05% | 2,466,500 |
Daniel M. Gade | 43.95% | 1,934,199 |
2020 Virginia Senate
Mark R. Warner
Vote %
56.05%
Total Votes
2,466,500
2020 Virginia Senate
Daniel M. Gade
Vote %
43.95%
Total Votes
1,934,199
+ More Elections
Featured Races
Explore the latest probabilities in the most competitive presidential, Senate, and House races by selecting any of the races listed below.
Interested to see how the DDHQ/The Hill forecast works? Read our methodology statement.
